Showing posts with label macroeconomics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label macroeconomics. Show all posts

28/01/2015

US unemployment & inflation rates

US unemployment (by all measures) are still higher than pre-recession levels and inflation are way lower, so is there any good reason for Fed to hike? Rather opposite: to postpone hikes to later date

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19/01/2015

Manufacturing & inflation

Inlation, Disinflation & Industrial Production

Disinflationary trend in developed economies, started about 2011, continues. As latest World Bank's Data shows, inflation in developed world in December was at lowest levels since 2008-2009 financial crisis and its clearly going to enter the deflation zone soon. But industrial production, in general, keeps growing, though at a slower pace. In some countries the picture is quite different. E. g., stagflation environment (industrial production contraction accompanied by high inflation rate) can be noticed in India, Indonesia, Brazil & Russia last months. Also, Japan somewhat stagflationary. Recent developments of situation in Ukraine looks like catastrophe (double-digits contraction in industrial production).

17/01/2015