Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts
Showing posts with label politics. Show all posts

03/02/2015

Fair elections and authoritarianism

Those who say honest elections are an important factor in their country development or in they own lives, are not necessarily committed to democratic values. And vice versa

Data from World Values Survey Wave 6 (2010-2014)

23/01/2015

Is Grexit really possible? Poll data and greek elections forecast

   On Sunday Jan 25, the parliamentary elections in Greece will take place. Today the Greek political field consist mainly of all shades of red and brown, and some recent polls shows the left-radical party SYRIZA may get the majority (151) of seats in parliament in a result of the upcoming elections. However, every poll has a margin of error, and individual poll results can be outliers. To make more reasonable estimate, it is better to use average data from all surveys conducted from January 1 by different polling firms that were collected on this Wiki page.

According to the forecast, most likely, SYRIZA will get 146 seats in parliament, which would not give it an absolute majority, but will give an opportunity to get a majority in coalition with some of the smaller parties.

   Such a possibility worries observers who fear a sharp reversal of Greek policy towards rejection of the Euro currency and exit from the European Union (so called Grexit), despite the fact that SYRIZA leader Alexis Tsipras recently stated that it has no such plans.